Good News for Owners Sale of New Homes Down but Existing Home Sales in Good Shape

Over the past months, we have all been inundated with projections on the housing market bubble ? Will it burst? It is going to burst soon, be prepared! Sell Now! Buy Now! And the forecast differs depending upon the television channel you are listening to or the media article you are reading.

According to James Cooper of BusinessWeek magazine, the numbers point to a gradual slowdown of the market ? not a sudden crash, as many have predicted. In his July 10, 2006, article, Cooper cites how different indicators for the housing market are up one week and down the next. Some homes for sale indicators decline, while others rise. Though it is difficult to accurately project the future of the housing market for the remainder of 2006, he is optimistic ? in spite of all the noise that changes the market outlook on a daily basis.

Compared to last year?s peak numbers, the housing market is in decline for both new and existing homes for sale and the growth rate of prices continue to slow. Yet, the expected drop in sales has not been as bad as predicted, and the market collapse forecast has not occurred. The progressive slowdown is expected, however, to continue through the remainder of 2006.

The area of the homes for sale market that has been hit the hardest is the new single-family homes and existing condominiums and co-ops. Existing single-family homes for sale have faired the best with only a gradual decline in prices.

New home sales have fallen off sharply in 2006 and have the most volatile market indicators that cause the chaotic forecasts. There have been some ups and downs since the first of this year; however, new home sales are down overall by 10.9 percent since the end of 2005. Currently, builders have large inventories of new homes for sale that are expected to create further declines in both sales, prices and new construction starts for the future.

In May of 2006, the number of new homes for sale was up nearly 24 percent from last year for the same period. Median prices of new homes for sale were up by 5.1 percent for the same period but now have slowed drastically. With the average time to sell a new home being almost six months, builders are offering incentives to buyers, including helping with the closing costs, and are more willing to lower prices in order to sell off their inventories.

Condos and co-ops sales were off by 6.7 percent during the first half of 2006. The number of such homes for sale on the market has soared in the past year, gutting the market and bringing down prices and sales. The number of unsold units are up 73 percent.

The good news is for existing homeowners with homes for sale. This market is currently in good shape with both sales and prices holding up better than the new homes for sale market. Such sales have declined in seven out of the past nine months, but median prices are up 8.2 percent over the same period in 2005. According to Cooper, homeowners are not as willing to lower their prices as are builders, preferring to leave their homes on the market in order to find buyers willing to meet their price.

The bad news for owners of homes for sale is the number of existing homes currently being put on the market. In May of 2006, the number of existing homes for sale rose to 3.6 million, that?s one million more than in May of 2005. This is sure to begin affecting the existing homes for sale market. Additionally, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates soon that will affect mortgage rates for buyers. Right now is the best time to sell your home as buyers race to lock in current mortgage rates before the Federal Reserve takes action.

The predicted housing bubble crash is not expected in the near future. Consumer confidence is up by one point in June of 2006, according to the Conference Board?s index on consumer confidence, weighing in at 105.7. With good buyer confidence in the homes for sale market, a solid economy, and good labor markets, owners with homes for sale are still at a competitive advantage for now.

John Harris is an expert researcher and writer on real estate topics such as economics, credit improvement tips, home selling advice and home buying preparations. For more on San Diego Homes for Sale visit http://www.twtrealestate.com

A Bad Real Estate Market Can Allow You to Quit the Rat Race in 1 Year!

JP Morgan, an original Robber Baron and one of the richest men of his time said it best. ?The time to buy is when there is blood running through the streets!? While the blood is not running through the streets yet, it is trickling!

• Housing appreciation is flat or even negative in some formerly hot areas
• Time on market, the amount of time it takes for a property to sell is increasing dramatically across the country.
• Inventories of unsold homes are up 30-50% nationally
• Developers and builders are offering deals unheard of 1 year ago

On the horizon is an avalanche of home mortgages about to ?reset? payment levels, up from ?teaser? rates of 1-3% to market rates of 6-7%. When you realize that the only way many of these people were able to buy their homes was because they could afford only the 1-3% payment rates, you can imagine what will happen when those loans reset.

Also, historically, more mortgages go into foreclosure at 3-5 years after origination than in any other period of their terms. More than ? of all mortgages in the US were taken out in the last 3-5 years. Another negative factor is that, according to one study, almost 50% of all homeowners have less than 25% equity in their homes.

This has come about because of the large numbers of home buyers that put zero down when they purchased and the fact that homeowners pulled out $333 Billion in cash with refinances in the last 3 years. If someone, particularly an investor, (nearly 25% of all purchases were investors over the last 3 years!) can no longer afford their mortgage payments and they have little or no equity, they will not have much incentive to try to hold on, meaning foreclosures will soon spike. Many, many people will be trapped in their homes by the foregoing circumstances. They will not be able to sell:

• Real estate agents will not list their properties if they have little or no equity as they see no means of collecting their fee
• They will not be able to reduce their selling prices without having to bring cash to the closing to pay closing costs, cash they probably don?t have.
• The market will be cluttered with similar properties for sale
• Investors will not be interested in their properties because there is no equity

People who have to sell their homes for financial, personal or emotional reasons will be especially hard pressed to find a solution. If these people are not able to afford their homes and are not able to sell them, they will face financially disastrous foreclosures or personal bankruptcies. You will be able to solve their problems and they will Give you their properties in return! In fact, some will even pay you to take their properties! Why on earth would you want properties with no equity in them? Because they can become Automatic Cash Machines, spewing cash into your bank account so you will not have to work anymore! Here is how:

First, you sell the property! You line up Motivated Buyers as your potential clients.

Then, you find a Motivated Seller and acquire his property Next, you put the Motivated Buyer into the property as the new owner with a private, seller financed mortgage.

Lastly, you collect Automatic Income for the next 5-10-20 years or more while your buyer handles all the maintenance and other duties any home owner is faced with OK, what is a Motivated Buyer and how do you find them? A Motivated Buyer is someone who can not or will not pass the bank?s scrutiny to qualify for a mortgage. These may be owners of small businesses, especially if they are cash based. They could be self employed professionals or even foreigners. They could also be people with really stinky credit! These people will jump at the chance to buy a property with private, non-bank financing and will pay you a premium for the opportunity. To find them, you simply run an ad highlighting private, seller financing. Something like:

Owe too Much to Sell Your Home?

Investor can help! XXX-XXXX

You won?t need money to acquire these homes in most cases! Have a lawyer or a person experienced with land trusts, set one up for you. This is the secret that makes this strategy work. The land trust will allow you to take over the property and sell it without paying off the seller?s mortgage!

You tack on a profit for yourself and this total becomes the Motivated Buyer?s new mortgage, less the 5-10% cash down payment you require upfront on the new purchase price. Your buyer moves in and makes payments to you until he pays your mortgage off. You take his payment and pay the seller?s original mortgage. You pocket the difference. Let?s look at the potential.

You pick up and sell 1 property per month after a 2 month learning curve. The properties average $250,000 each in market value.They produce $300 per month in positive cash flowYou receive $10,000 cash down payment from each one With 10 of these, you have:

An income of $3,000 per month, or $36,000 per year. You received $100,000 in cash down payments$2,500,000 in assets, with equity accruing monthly as the mortgages are paid off Could you Quit the Rat Race with $130,000 per year? No? Repeat the above!

Copyright 2006 Bill Young. Bill is an experienced real estate investor and personal financial consultant. He writes and lectures on advanced real estate concepts and is an expert on the formation and use of land trusts. He can be reached at 877-291-3542. His web site is http://MotivatedSellersOnline.com/SellforMore

House Hunting Tips for Buyers

House hunting can actually be an enjoyable experience if you take your time and do your homework. Really! In my years as a Realtor, Investor and just a plain old looker before that I discovered the following ways to make house hunting less stressful and more effective.

Key to it all is first deciding where you'd like to live, then making it your business to learn as much about schools, hospitals, grocery stores, shopping, medical facilities, recreational amenities and so on.

Once you've done that you're ready to investigate about the crime rate. Is it a safe location, or do you need to be considering another location?

And as awkward as it may be to talk about, you want to assess the quality and character of the people who live in the area. Obviously, you can't interview them, but you can get a fairly good sense of their character by the condition of their homes and from the activities you might observe.

For example, if your prospective neighbor has discarded auto parts, household appliances and other stuff in their front yard you might want to reconsider your choice. A poor location when you buy will definitely be a negative factor if and when you decide to resell the home at a later date.

But once you've zeroed in on a good location, you're ready for the next step of finding your dream home. can start to think seriously about searching for your dream home. But instead of spinning your wheels by looking at houses randomly, you should determine what you really want in a house beforehand and be quided by those things in your search.

Make a list of things that are important to you. Do you want a single story house, or do you prefer two stories? Will 3 bedrooms and 2 baths do, or do you really need 4 bedrooms and 2 & 1/2 baths? Making a list will not only save you time, it will also be a big help to your Realtor in planning your viewings.

Next comes the biggie. Get pre-qualified for a mortgage loan before jumping in the car to tour houses. You need to know how much house can you afford, which most people don't know.

Affordability is based upon income, credit status, interest rates, down payment, closing costs and the type of loan selected. By getting pre-qualified by a lending institution you will know what you can afford to spend, which will save you time by establishing the price range you should be looking in before you begin your house hunting tours.

Once armed with information about how much house you can afford you're ready to begin looking at homes. Make notes after each viewing each property, because after 2 - 3 homes they'll start running together and you won't be able to remember the details of each one as you think you will.

Finally, you need your own Realtor; someone who is working for you and is looking out for your interests. When you call the Realtor on a house for sale sign you're speaking to the seller's agent, who represents the seller and will be looking after the seller's interests.

Like I started out saying, house hunting can be an enjoyable experience when you take your time and do your homework, but when done wrong it can be a terribly stressful situation. Fun and easy, or difficult and stressful. You decide!

Lanard Perry, author of a real estate marketing system that shows Realtors how to average 1 or more listings a week. Visit him at Real Estate Marketing Talk for more marketing ideas.

How to Gain More in Miami Real Estate Market

There are many factors that could cause any investor or future home owner to be successful or just a failure in Miami real estate market. Actually, knowing which properties to buy and the approach made in investing is all there is to become successful Miami Real Estate Market. Although, this requires different talents and abilities, all these can be learned and developed in order for someone to boom.

Skills sets are available for anyone who is interested in Miami Real Estate Marketing. One of the most important among these skills is being interpersonal. This is needed when dealing with real estate negotiations. The make or break scenario usually depend on how an investor or a marketer built the relationship with the other parties in order for them to build the trust needed in closing a deal. Rapport should be established and spending time to meet with the other sellers makes a huge difference. This is a win-win situation for both parties. Whatever transaction is made as long as they were made in a healthy atmosphere then everything will turn out fine. This will also a good turn for the future when some of their business friends will be recommended as well.

Simple mathematics should also be learned in order to be successful in Miami Real Estate Market. One should learn how to analyze the monthly cash flow and how the appreciations of property costs are being computed. It also important to do computations on how much is to be considered for renovations and repairs and relate the results to the flipping and the fixed sphere in Miami Real Estate Market. Tag an architect and a contractor along to assume whether the transaction being made is reasonable.

Lastly, remember that bargaining especially in Miami Real Estate Market really has need of patience as there are more than a hundred of real estate properties to choose from. Look for something that would yield better results and costs in the future to make sure that such property is a sure deal. See to it that the Miami Real Estate Market property is personally examined to be assured of the things itemized during the agreement and something that fully met the required needs.

Consider these tips in order to yield successful results in Miami Real Estate Market, specifically leasing:

- expect more than ten times of responses if an ad is placed with the ?Option to buy? terms than when a ?for Rent? is placed. That is because many are still trying to buy a piece of property in Miami and leasing could be their last resort.

- there are more calls coming from more interested tenants to a property and there is higher price involved.

- remember that the lease option when selling out a property yields more monthly income. The fees include the granting the lease fee and the monthly rent for the property. In return more cash flow is expected.

- it?s a positive outlook for future buyers as well because they are given the opportunity and the chance to possibly own a place in one of Miami?s real estates. These people are willing to pay a higher amount for the leasing agreement just to have a place of their own.

Cleo Capili

http://www.miamirealestateinc.com

Florida Real Estate Expert Cleo Capili specializes providing assistance to buyers in Florida. She guides families who would like to invest and purchase their dream home in the exciting warm paradise of the Real Estates in Florida. Her skills in negotiating and inventory to make sure that sales and experience bring out the best for each purchase sets her apart from the different common realtors in her location.

Cleo have good background in marketing, business, real estate financing, and advertising to give clients the best options when buying a Florida property. No matter what your needs are, Cleo could share her professional and interpersonal skills for outstanding results on each of your property purchase in Florida.

Home Ownership Ownership Societies and Home Equity Considered

One of the greatest things that a society or civilization can have is buy-in from its citizenry. Perhaps you might call this a sense of nationalism that comes from owning a piece of America. Home ownership helps boost the value of ownership societies and yet even though more Americans own homes now then have ever in the history of our nation we also have a problem where the home equity value is less on a percentage per house than it has ever been also.

We know from the last real estate crash that when home equity becomes negative that more and more people walk away from their homes and then they are disenchanted with our society, civilization and even capitalism itself. This is unfortunate although it also shows a sense of irresponsibility on the part of those people who dug their own grave of debt. Nevertheless in the blame game world of human civilizations and societies people who have hardships of life usually try to blame someone else for them.

So what started out to be a great advancement in the concept an ownership society in the United States of America looks like it is slowly losing some of its steam and actually might end up causing a little bit of a problem in the future. The Federal Reserve says that the housing market collapse is not as bad as people portray it and this is relatively true however, it is something we need to watch in the future.

If people walk away from their loans this can cause a problem in the banking system and American citizens are already in too much debt with short-term loans and credit cards. An ownership society is a great idea and we should commend our leadership for working towards that noble goal, but at the same time we must be very careful that we talk about ownership we are not just talking about debt; rather actual ownership.

Owning a piece of America should not be owning an overwhelming responsibility of stress to make payments on something that is not his worth as much as the loan value. Please consider this in 2006.

Lance Winslow, a retired entrepreneur, adventurer, modern day philosopher and perpetual tourist.

The State of the Real Estate Market is the Housing Bubble Bursting in Tampa Bay?

If your local Realtor? is to be believed, the stabilization of housing prices and the cooling of the housing market is good for the entire community. But, how can such a slowdown possibly be a good thing? Homeowners, used to seeing double digit gains in their homes values, are concerned when their home does not sell in a matter days with multiple offers, as homes were doing until the end of 2005.

Surprisingly enough a more stable market is better for everyone, and a slowdown is not a stop. David Lereah, NAR's chief economist states, 2006 is still expected to be the third strongest on record. In this case, experiencing a slowing from a hot market is a good thing because we need a solid housing sector to provide an underlying base to the economy, and slower appreciation will help to preserve long-term affordability.

In general, the overwhelming opinion of those in the know, is this slowdown will result in a stable housing market through the end of 2006. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on May 18, 2006 said that Americans' consumption could taper off somewhat now that the U.S. housing market's extraordinary boom has ended. Greenspan, in his first public U.S. speech since retiring in January, predicted there is no danger of a total collapse of the housing market.

UCLA Anderson Forecast Director Edward Leamer, who also does not expect real estate prices to fall significantly, notes that sales volume is what typically drops, and drops more precipitously than prices, as the price cycle lags behind the volume cycle. Locally we have seen this as homes have stayed on the market longer, although prices have remained stable.

According to the NAR (National Association of Realtors), Two conditions are necessary for price softness in a given area: an oversupply of homes available for sale, and adverse economic conditions ? generally a weak local job market. Fortunately, our local job market continues to be strong, with Florida's unemployment rate at 3.2 percent in May, up only slightly from 3.0 in April. Florida's May 2006 rate was 1.4 percentage points lower than the national rate of 4.6 percent.

We are fortunate in the Tampa Bay area that Florida continues to be the destination for aging Baby Boomers and others looking for vacation properties and second homes. With a strong economic forecast and a desirable destination, Tampa Bay should be able to weather the housing bubble rumors and come through the remainder of the 2006 housing market safely.

Visit http://realestatemarketingpro.blogspot.com for free real estate marketing tips or see these tips and tricks in action at http://www.ComeToClearwater.com

Realtors and mortgage bankers/brokers, please feel free to use this article provided this reference is included and all links remain active.

Understanding Seller Pricing In Real Estate

Many homebuyers make the mistake of assuming the price listed with a home is somehow related to the actual value. In fact, the price often is not.

What is the fair price of a home? Many would argue the fair price is the one agreed upon between a buyer and seller when negotiations conclude in the offer and counteroffer process. While this is certainly one approach to the situation, many buyers make the mistake of assuming the listing price on a home has some inherent relationship to the appraised price. This is sometime incorrect because of issues involving the seller.

Obviously, the first issue to consider with pricing is the natural tendency of the seller to try to get as much as possible for the property. In practical terms, this means the property will almost always be priced above what the market will support. It may be just above or well above, but it will definitely be above. The only exception to this situation is if the seller is motivated to sell fast for some reason such as divorce. In said situations, the seller may price the property at or below what the market will support.

A less obvious motivation for overpricing a property boils down to simple financial numbers. If you own a home, you are bombarded with offers for home equity credit lines. The credit line is essentially a way of liquefying the equity in a property. Many people use these lines to pay a wide variety of bills. When it comes time to sell the property, however, they suddenly realize their profit from it is going to be very small. In such a situation, the natural reaction of the seller is to ask for price at the high end of the local market. In such a situation, the seller is unlikely to be amenable to negotiating down the price because they simply cannot.

When looking at homes it is important to understand the motivation of the seller when setting the asking price. Doing so allows you to determine if the price is negotiable or the seller is stuck.

Raynor James is with the site - FSBO America - FSBO homes for sale by owner.